The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast Modeling System and Hurricanes in a Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model, which have shown significant skill improvements in terms of storm track and intensity forecasts, have been successfully transitioned to the newest version of the Weather and Climate Operational Supercomputing System, allowing for uninterrupted operational forecasts.

To improve the understanding and prediction of how hurricanes intensify, NOAAвЂ™s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Lab and Pacific Marine Environmental Lab will operate five Saildrone uncrewed surface vehicles during the peak of the 2022 hurricane season and coordinate for the first time with uncrewed ocean gliders, small aircraft drone systems, and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft to measure the ocean, atmosphere and areas where they meet.вЂњSince Sandy, NOAAвЂ™s forecasting accuracy has continued to improve, allowing us to better predict the impacts of major hurricanes to lives and livelihoods.вЂќДЄdditionally, NOAA has enhanced the following products and services this hurricane season:

вЂњAs we reflect on another potentially busy hurricane season, past stormsВ - such as Superstorm Sandy, which devastated the New York metro area ten years agoВ - remind us that the impact of one storm can be felt for years,вЂќ said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. The way in which climate change impacts the strength and frequency of tropical cyclones is a continuous area of study for NOAA scientists. An enhanced west African monsoon supports stronger African Easterly Waves, which seed many of the strongest and longest lived hurricanes during most seasons. The increased activity anticipated this hurricane season is attributed to several climate factors, including the ongoing La NiГ±a that is likely to persist throughout the hurricane season, warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds and an enhanced west African monsoon. вЂњThroughout the hurricane season, NOAA experts will work around-the-clock to provide early and accurate forecasts and warnings that communities in the path of storms can depend on to stay informed.вЂќ вЂњEarly preparation and understanding your risk is key to being hurricane resilient and climate-ready,вЂќ said Secretary of Commerce Gina M.

Hurricane track prediction